College football betting trends, predictions: Miami, BYU, UCLA have edge
LV REVIEW JOURNAL SUBSCRIPTION
BRUCE MARSHALL VSIN
Bruce Marshall is a handicapper for WagerTalk.com. He provides the Review-Journal with college football notes and trends.
NC State at Stanford: The Wolfpack have failed to cover in their last six games as a visitor (0-2 this season). Note that the Cardinal have covered in five of their last seven games against ACC foes in Palo Alto.
Edge: Stanford, based on team trends.
Pittsburgh at Miami (Fla.): The Hurricanes have covered nine of their last 11 games since late in the 2025 season.
Edge: Miami, based on recent trends.
Indiana at Michigan: After compiling a 19-10 record against the spread over the past two seasons, the Hoosiers have covered only once in seven tries this season. Note that the Wolverines are 5-1 to the under in Kyle Whittingham’s first season, and his teams at Utah and Michigan are 10-6 in their last 16 games as an underdog.
Edge: Michigan and slight lean to the under, based on team and totals trends.
Texas Tech at Cincinnati: The Red Raiders might finally be shifting gears after a slow start against the spread (0-3-1), winning and covering handily in their last two games. In 2025, Texas Tech was 12-2 straight up and against the spread. The Bearcats are just 1-6 in their last seven games as an underdog since mid-2025.
Edge: Texas Tech, based on team trends.
LSU at Auburn: These teams have not met since 2023. LSU is just 1-6 against the spread in its last seven games away from Baton Rouge since early 2025 (0-2 this season under Lane Kiffin). The home team is 6-1 against the spread in LSU games this season. Alex Golesh-coached teams at USF (2023-25) and Auburn (this season) are 13-6 in their last 19 games as an underdog since early 2023.
Edge:Auburn, based on team trends.
California at SMU: The home team has won and covered in each of the last two meetings. The Golden Bears are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games as an ACC visitor outside California (1-0 this season). The Mustangs, however, are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games as an ACC host.
Edge:Slight lean to SMU, based on team trends.
Rutgers at Northwestern: The Scarlet Knights are actually 10-6-1 as an underdog under Greg Schiano since 2024, though the Wildcats are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games since late last season and 7-1 against the spread in their last eight home games (2-0 at the new Ryan Field).
Edge: Slight lean to Northwestern, based on team trends.
BYU at UCF: The Cougars have won and covered this matchup the past two seasons and are on a 13-2 run against the spread since early 2025 (6-0 straight up and against the spread in 2026). The Knights are on a 2-8 downturn against the spread since late 2025 and are 1-5 in their last six games as an underdog.
Edge:BYU, based on recent trends.
Michigan State at UCLA: This is the first time the Spartans have played the Bruins in Pasadena since UCLA’s 14-12 Rose Bowl victory on Jan. 1, 1966. Michigan State did play UCLA at the Los Angeles Coliseum in 1974 and lost 56-14 in Dick Vermeil’s first victory as Bruins coach. Michigan State has lost its last five games outright and is 3-4 against the spread this season, with unders in five of its last six games. Pat Fitzgerald-coached teams at Northwestern and Michigan State are just 9-16 against the spread in their last 25 games since mid-2021. UCLA is 6-0 straight up and 5-1 against the spread under Bob Chesney. The Bruins have also gone under in their last two games.
Edge: UCLA and slight lean to the under, based on recent and totals trends.
Tennessee at South Carolina: These teams have not met since 2023. The Volunteers are 6-1 straight up and 5-2 against the spread this season and have gone under in their last five games. The Gamecocks had dropped four straight against the spread before their recent romp at Florida.
Edge:Under and slight lean to Tennessee, based on totals and team trends.
Texas A&M at Alabama: These teams have not met since 2023. The Aggies have dropped four of their last five games against the spread this season and have no wins or covers in their last three road games since late 2025. Texas A&M has also gone under in its last four games. Kalen DeBoer is 8-3 against the spread at Alabama since late 2024, though just 2-2 against the spread at home this season.
Edge: Slight lean to Alabama and the under, based on recent and totals trends.
Hawaii at Northern Illinois: The Rainbow Warriors have shown slight improvement over the past two games with spread covers in each, though they are only 1-6 straight up this season. That’s still better than the Huskies’ 0-6 straight-up record, and Northern Illinois is just 1-5 against the spread in 2026. Since the upset of Notre Dame in early 2024, the Huskies are just 7-19-2 against the spread.
Edge:Slight lean to Hawaii, based on team trends.
Iowa at Minnesota: The Floyd of Rosedale game. The Hawkeyes have won and covered the last two meetings and seven of the last eight Floyd of Rosedale matchups. Iowa is on a 14-4 run against the spread since early 2025 and has covered all eight road games since last season.
Edge: Iowa, based on recent and series trends.
San Jose State at Nevada: The Wolf Pack have covered the last three meetings, including a lopsided 55-10 victory last year in Reno. Note that the road team has covered in all seven San Jose State games this season, with the Spartans 4-0 against the spread away from home. Nevada, however, has covered its last three games. The Spartans have also gone under in six straight games since the opener against USC.
Edge: Under, based on totals trends.
Boise State at Washington State: The Cougars are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games in Pullman (2-1 under Kirby Moore). Counting the Oregon State game as a push last week, Washington State is now 9-2-1 as an underdog since early last season. The Broncos are only 1-4-1 against the spread since mid-2025 away from the blue turf.
Edge: Washington State, based on recent trends.
San Diego State at Colorado State: The Rams are in a terrible stretch, with no wins or covers in their last four games this season, and are now on a 6-13-1 skid against the spread since late 2024. Colorado State has also gone over in five straight games. The Aztecs have covered the last four meetings dating to 2020, though San Diego State is only 2-5 against the spread this season and 0-3 against the spread on the road.
Edge: Slight lean to San Diego State and the over, based on recent and totals trends.
Vanderbilt at Kentucky: The Commodores have won and covered the last two meetings and are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games against Kentucky. Vanderbilt, however, has lost its last four games outright this season and is just 3-5 against the spread since late 2025. Meanwhile, Kentucky has won and covered its last five games and six of seven this season under Will Stein.
Edge: Kentucky, based on recent trends.
Ole Miss at Texas: The Rebels are on a 14-7 surge against the spread since late 2024. They have also covered four of their last five games against SEC opponents away from Oxford. The Longhorns are 1-5 against the spread this season.
Edge: Ole Miss, based on recent trends.
USC at Wisconsin: This will be the Trojans’ first trip to Camp Randall Stadium since a 26-6 victory in 1965. USC’s win at Penn State on Oct. 10 was its first cover on a Big Ten road trip outside California in 10 tries since joining the league in 2024. Wisconsin has covered its last three Big Ten home games under Luke Fickell.
Edge: Wisconsin, based on team trends.
Iowa State at Arizona: The Wildcats have covered their last two games after an 0-4 start against the spread in 2026. Arizona is still 6-4 against the spread at Tucson since last season. The Cyclones are only 1-4 against the spread in their last five Big 12 road games (0-1 under Jimmy Rogers this season).
Edge:Slight lean to Arizona, based on team trends.
Houston at Utah: The Cougars are 5-1 in their last six games as an underdog since early last season. Houston is also on a 6-2 over run since late 2025. Utah is on a 15-5 run against the spread since late 2024 (5-1 this season) and an 11-4 over run since early 2025.
Edge: Over, based on totals trends.